Persebaya Surabaya vs Persija: prediction and stats
Liga 1Regular Season - 22Kick-off on March 3, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Gelora Bung Tomo, Surabaya
The Footlab AI model makes Persija the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Persebaya Surabaya. The most likely score is 1-1. If Persija wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 3,223 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Persebaya Surabaya vs Persija?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Persebaya Surabaya (1,883) and Persija (1,926).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Persebaya Surabaya vs Persija
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Persebaya Surabaya
4-2-3-1- 11Miguel Pereira
- 20Ricardo Miguel Torrão Ramalho
- 40Gledson
- 68T. Firmansyah
- 7F. Rivera
- 55S. Putra
- 4Yuran Fernandes
- 17Jefferson
- 2A. Catur
- 34Wálber
- 21E. Ari
Persija
4-4-2- 11A. Abdulmanan
- 9A. Jeremejeff
- 97Fábio
- 33S. Lončar
- 58R. Hannan
- 8W. Sulaeman
- 30D. Kolinger
- 6M. Čupić
- 77D. Pamungkas
- 50K. Memija
- 23N. Argawinata
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 02:47 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Persebaya Surabaya have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeat; Persija have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | PSM Makassar(away) | 0-1 | Liga 1 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | PSS Sleman(home) | 2-2 | Liga 1 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Adhyaksa(away) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Garudayaksa(home) | 1-1 | Liga 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | PSIM Yogyakarta(home) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Arema FC(home) | 5-1 | Liga 1 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Persita(away) | 2-3 | Liga 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | PSIM Yogyakarta(away) | 4-0 | Liga 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Malut United(home) | 1-0 | Liga 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Persib Bandung(home) | 2-1 | Liga 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Persebaya Surabaya win, 0 draws, 2 Persija wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Persebaya Surabaya 1-0 Persija | Piala Presiden |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Persija 3-0 Persebaya Surabaya | Liga 1 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Persebaya Surabaya 1-3 Persija | Liga 1 |
Last archived meeting: Persebaya Surabaya vs Persija on Jul 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Persebaya Surabaya score 1.7 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Persija score 2.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Persebaya Surabaya | 1.7 | 0.6 | 8 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Persija | 2.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Persebaya Surabaya sit 9th in Liga 1 (9 points from 6 matches) and Persija sit 1st (15 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persija | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 15 |
| 9 | Persebaya Surabaya | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
A question about Persebaya Surabaya vs Persija?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Persebaya Surabaya vs Persija?
- The Footlab AI model makes Persija the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Persebaya Surabaya.
- Where and when is Persebaya Surabaya vs Persija played?
- Persebaya Surabaya vs Persija is played on March 3, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Gelora Bung Tomo, in the Liga 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.