Match

Bidezarra vs Subiza: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 23Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo Bidezarra de Noain, Noain

BidezarraSubiza

The Footlab AI model makes Subiza the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Bidezarra. The most likely score is 1-1. If Subiza wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bidezarra vs Subiza?

Subiza starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,826 vs 1,710).

34%29%37%
Bidezarra winDrawSubiza win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Bidezarra vs Subiza

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Bidezarra

Not enough data to predict the Bidezarra lineup.

Subiza

Not enough data to predict the Subiza lineup.

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:24 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bidezarra have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Subiza have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bidezarra
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Subiza(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 15
Oct 3, 2026Beti Onak(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 15
Sep 26, 2026Txantrea(away)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 15
Sep 19, 2026Izarra(home)0-4Tercera División RFEF - Group 15
Sep 12, 2026Cortes(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 15
Subiza
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Bidezarra(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 15
Oct 3, 2026San Juan(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 15
Sep 27, 2026Cirbonero(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 15
Sep 19, 2026Avance Ezcabarte(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 15
Sep 13, 2026Valle Egüés(home)5-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 15

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Bidezarra wins, 1 draw, 2 Subiza wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Subiza 2-1 BidezarraTercera División RFEF - Group 15
Mar 19, 2026Bidezarra 1-0 SubizaTercera División RFEF - Group 15
Nov 9, 2025Subiza 0-0 BidezarraTercera División RFEF - Group 15
May 11, 2024Bidezarra 2-0 SubizaTercera División RFEF - Group 15
Jan 21, 2024Subiza 1-2 BidezarraTercera División RFEF - Group 15
Jun 12, 2021Bidezarra 0-2 SubizaTercera División RFEF - Group 15

Last archived meeting: Subiza vs Bidezarra on Oct 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bidezarra score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Subiza score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bidezarra0.91.356/156/15
Subiza1.71.5410/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bidezarra sit 17th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 (3 points from 6 matches) and Subiza sit 6th (10 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Subiza631213910
17Bidezarra60334113

A question about Bidezarra vs Subiza?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bidezarra vs Subiza?
The Footlab AI model makes Subiza the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Bidezarra.
Where and when is Bidezarra vs Subiza played?
Bidezarra vs Subiza is played on February 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Bidezarra de Noain, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Bidezarra and Subiza

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