Pamplona vs Izarra: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 15Group 15 - 23Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Fútbol Beitikuntzea, Lizasoáin
The Footlab AI model makes Izarra the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Pamplona. The most likely score is 1-1. If Izarra wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,752 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pamplona vs Izarra?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Pamplona (1,898) and Izarra (1,934).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pamplona vs Izarra
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pamplona
Not enough data to predict the Pamplona lineup.
Izarra
Not enough data to predict the Izarra lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 08:03 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pamplona have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Izarra have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Gazte Berriak(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Izarra(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Huarte(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cortes(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Doneztebe FT(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Txantrea(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pamplona(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cortes(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Beti Kozkor(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Bidezarra(away) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Pamplona wins, 1 draw, 2 Izarra wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Izarra 2-1 Pamplona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Pamplona 5-1 Izarra | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 30, 2026 | Izarra 1-1 Pamplona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Izarra 0-2 Pamplona | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Pamplona 2-1 Izarra | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Aug 14, 2023 | Izarra 2-0 Pamplona | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Pamplona score 1.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Izarra score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pamplona | 1.0 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 3/15 |
| Izarra | 2.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pamplona sit 12th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 (7 points from 7 matches) and Izarra sit 1st (18 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Izarra | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 3 | 18 |
| 12 | Pamplona | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 |
A question about Pamplona vs Izarra?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pamplona vs Izarra?
- The Footlab AI model makes Izarra the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Pamplona.
- Where and when is Pamplona vs Izarra played?
- Pamplona vs Izarra is played on February 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol Beitikuntzea, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 15.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.