Match

Biesheim vs Montlouis: prediction and stats

National 2 - Group AGroup A - 5Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Municipal, Biesheim

BiesheimMontlouis

The Footlab model makes Biesheim the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Montlouis. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Biesheim vs Montlouis?

A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Biesheim (1,714) and Montlouis (1,737).

Biesheim win40 %
Draw28 %
Montlouis win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Biesheim have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Montlouis have 3, 7 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Biesheim
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026St Maur Lusitanos(home)1-1National 2 - Group A
May 16, 2026Beauvais(away)1-5National 2 - Group B
May 9, 2026Furiani-Agliani(home)2-1National 2 - Group B
May 1, 2026Epinal(away)1-2National 2 - Group B
Apr 25, 2026St-Pryvé St-Hilaire(home)1-1National 2 - Group B
Montlouis
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Chantilly(away)1-1National 2 - Group A
May 16, 2026Saint-Malo(home)2-2National 2 - Group A
May 9, 2026Saumur(away)0-0National 2 - Group A
May 2, 2026Châteaubriant(home)1-1National 2 - Group A
Apr 25, 2026Bordeaux(away)1-4National 2 - Group A

How many goals should we expect?

Biesheim score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Montlouis score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Biesheim0.91.349/156/15
Montlouis1.11.5311/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Biesheim sit 6th in National 2 - Group A (1 points from 1 matches) and Montlouis sit 11th (1 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Biesheim1010111
11Montlouis1010111

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Biesheim vs Montlouis?
The Footlab model makes Biesheim the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Montlouis.
Where and when is Biesheim vs Montlouis played?
Biesheim vs Montlouis is played on September 19, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Municipal, in the National 2 - Group A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Biesheim and Montlouis

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