Montlouis vs Colmar: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group AGroup A - 12Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade Eugène Cholet 1 - Terrain Emmanuel Petit, Montlouis-sur-Loire
The Footlab model makes Montlouis the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Colmar. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Montlouis vs Colmar?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Montlouis (1,737) and Colmar (1,733).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montlouis have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Colmar have 3, 9 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chantilly(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 16, 2026 | Saint-Malo(home) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 9, 2026 | Saumur(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 2, 2026 | Châteaubriant(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Bordeaux(away) | 1-4 | National 2 - Group A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Creteil(away) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group A |
| May 16, 2026 | Wasquehal(home) | 3-3 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 9, 2026 | Chambly Thelle FC(away) | 0-6 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 2, 2026 | Bastia-Borgo(home) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Bourges Foot 18(away) | 1-1 | National 2 - Group B |
How many goals should we expect?
Montlouis score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Colmar score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montlouis | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Colmar | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Montlouis sit 11th in National 2 - Group A (1 points from 1 matches) and Colmar sit 15th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Montlouis | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | Colmar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Montlouis vs Colmar?
- The Footlab model makes Montlouis the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Colmar.
- Where and when is Montlouis vs Colmar played?
- Montlouis vs Colmar is played on December 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Eugène Cholet 1 - Terrain Emmanuel Petit, in the National 2 - Group A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.