Bigaspor vs Ayvalikgucu: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 23. Lig Group 2 - 21Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Biga İlyas Bayram Stadyumu, Biga
The Footlab model makes Ayvalikgucu the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Bigaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bigaspor vs Ayvalikgucu?
Ayvalikgucu starts as the favourite with a 162-point Elo edge (1,709 vs 1,547).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 9 matches in all competitions, Bigaspor have 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Ayvalikgucu have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2023 | Etimesgut SK(away) | 0-1 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Oct 12, 2023 | Karsiyaka(away) | 1-0 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Sep 27, 2023 | Bilecik 1969 Spor(home) | 0-0 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Sökespor(away) | 0-0 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Sep 29, 2022 | Menemen FK(away) | 2-3 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Yeni Orduspor(home) | 1-2 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| May 8, 2026 | Eskişehirspor(away) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| May 4, 2026 | Eskişehirspor(home) | 2-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 28, 2026 | Karsiyaka(away) | 2-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Karsiyaka(home) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
How many goals should we expect?
Bigaspor score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 9; Ayvalikgucu score 1.4 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bigaspor | 0.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 3/9 | 3/9 |
| Ayvalikgucu | 1.4 | 0.8 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 9 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bigaspor vs Ayvalikgucu?
- The Footlab model makes Ayvalikgucu the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Bigaspor.
- Where and when is Bigaspor vs Ayvalikgucu played?
- Bigaspor vs Ayvalikgucu is played on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Biga İlyas Bayram Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.