Bistrica vs Dren Vrhnika: prediction and stats
2. SNLRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Srednja Bistrica, Srednja Bistrica
The Footlab model makes Bistrica the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Dren Vrhnika. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bistrica vs Dren Vrhnika?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Bistrica (1,568) and Dren Vrhnika (1,594).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bistrica have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Dren Vrhnika have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bilje(away) | 4-1 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ilirija(home) | 0-6 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Krka(away) | 0-0 | 2. SNL |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Lecce(away) | 2-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Voitsberg(away) | 4-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dravinja(home) | 2-0 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brežice(away) | 2-1 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Triglav(home) | 0-1 | 2. SNL |
| May 23, 2026 | Rudar Trbovlje(away) | 4-1 | 3. SNL - West |
| May 16, 2026 | Šencur(home) | 2-3 | 3. SNL - West |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Bistrica win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Dren Vrhnika win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2024 | Dren Vrhnika 1-3 Bistrica | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Dren Vrhnika vs Bistrica on Oct 29, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Bistrica score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Dren Vrhnika score 2.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bistrica | 1.5 | 2.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Dren Vrhnika | 2.8 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bistrica sit 8th in 2. SNL (4 points from 3 matches) and Dren Vrhnika sit 4th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Dren Vrhnika | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Bistrica | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bistrica vs Dren Vrhnika?
- The Footlab model makes Bistrica the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Dren Vrhnika.
- Where and when is Bistrica vs Dren Vrhnika played?
- Bistrica vs Dren Vrhnika is played on August 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Srednja Bistrica, in the 2. SNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.