Bistrica vs Krka: prediction and stats
2. SNLRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Srednja Bistrica, Srednja Bistrica
The Footlab model makes Bistrica the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Krka. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bistrica vs Krka?
Bistrica starts as the favourite with a 137-point Elo edge (1,582 vs 1,446).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bistrica have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Krka have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bilje(away) | 4-1 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ilirija(home) | 0-6 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Krka(away) | 0-0 | 2. SNL |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Lecce(away) | 2-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Voitsberg(away) | 4-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Slovan Ljubljana(home) | 2-3 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Rudar(away) | 0-3 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Bistrica(home) | 0-0 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hrvatski Dragovoljac(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Segesta Sisak(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Bistrica win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Krka win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Krka 0-0 Bistrica | 2. SNL |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Bistrica 3-0 Krka | 2. SNL |
| Aug 18, 2025 | Krka 0-4 Bistrica | 2. SNL |
| May 8, 2025 | Bistrica 2-1 Krka | 2. SNL |
| Oct 25, 2024 | Krka 0-2 Bistrica | 2. SNL |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Bistrica 3-0 Krka | 2. SNL |
How many goals should we expect?
Bistrica score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Krka score 1.4 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bistrica | 1.5 | 2.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Krka | 1.4 | 1.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bistrica sit 8th in 2. SNL (4 points from 3 matches) and Krka sit 14th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bistrica | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 14 | Krka | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bistrica vs Krka?
- The Footlab model makes Bistrica the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Krka.
- Where and when is Bistrica vs Krka played?
- Bistrica vs Krka is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Srednja Bistrica, in the 2. SNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.