Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Adanaspor: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 31Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Bitlis 8 Ağustos Stadyumu, Bitlis
The Footlab model makes Bitlis Özgüzelderespor the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Adanaspor. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Adanaspor?
Bitlis Özgüzelderespor starts as the favourite with a 213-point Elo edge (1,558 vs 1,344).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Bitlis Özgüzelderespor have 3 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Adanaspor have 0, 0 and 15.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2025 | Karaköprü Belediyespor(away) | 1-2 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 1954 Kelkit Belediyespor(home) | 1-1 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Sep 11, 2024 | Hakkari Zapspor(home) | 2-0 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Sep 15, 2022 | Mazıdağı Fosfatspor(away) | 0-3 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Aug 29, 2019 | Muş Sport Klübü(away) | 1-2 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Muş Sport Klübü(away) | 0-6 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Arnavutköy Belediyespor(home) | 0-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | 1461 Trabzon FK(home) | 0-3 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Aliağa FAŞ(home) | 1-8 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Somaspor(away) | 0-5 | 2. Lig |
How many goals should we expect?
Bitlis Özgüzelderespor score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 8; Adanaspor score 0.1 and concede 5.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitlis Özgüzelderespor | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 5/8 | 5/8 |
| Adanaspor | 0.1 | 5.3 | 0 | 2/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Adanaspor?
- The Footlab model makes Bitlis Özgüzelderespor the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Adanaspor.
- Where and when is Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Adanaspor played?
- Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Adanaspor is played on April 4, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Bitlis 8 Ağustos Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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