Karaköprü Belediyespor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 31Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Faruk Çelik Spor Kompleksi, Şanlıurfa
The Footlab model makes Karaköprü Belediyespor the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Mazıdağı Fosfatspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karaköprü Belediyespor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Karaköprü Belediyespor (1,559) and Mazıdağı Fosfatspor (1,591).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karaköprü Belediyespor have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Mazıdağı Fosfatspor have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu(away) | 2-3 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Kapadokyaspor(home) | 2-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Yeşilyurt Belediyespor(away) | 2-6 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Ağrı 1970(home) | 2-1 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Kilis Belediyespor(away) | 0-2 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2026 | Talasgücü Belediyespor(away) | 0-2 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Talasgücü Belediyespor(home) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Niğde Belediyesispor(away) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Kahramanmaraşspor(home) | 0-2 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Diyarbekirspor(away) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Karaköprü Belediyespor win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Mazıdağı Fosfatspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Karaköprü Belediyespor 0-0 Mazıdağı Fosfatspor | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Mazıdağı Fosfatspor 1-0 Karaköprü Belediyespor | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Karaköprü Belediyespor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Karaköprü Belediyespor score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Mazıdağı Fosfatspor score 0.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karaköprü Belediyespor | 1.3 | 1.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Mazıdağı Fosfatspor | 0.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karaköprü Belediyespor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor?
- The Footlab model makes Karaköprü Belediyespor the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Mazıdağı Fosfatspor.
- Where and when is Karaköprü Belediyespor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor played?
- Karaköprü Belediyespor vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor is played on April 4, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Faruk Çelik Spor Kompleksi, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 4, 2027Yeni MalatyasporvsYozgat Bld Bozokspor
- Apr 4, 2027Kırşehir BelediyesporvsDiyarbekirspor
- Apr 4, 2027Ağrı 1970vsYeşilyurt Belediyespor
- Apr 4, 2027Bitlis ÖzgüzelderesporvsAdanaspor
- Apr 4, 2027Karaman FKvsKırıkkale Büyük Anadolu
- Apr 4, 2027Silifke BelediyesporvsOsmaniyespor
- Apr 4, 2027Niğde BelediyesisporvsYeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
- Apr 4, 2027Adana AdaletgucuvsTalasgücü Belediyespor