Match

Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Diyarbekirspor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 11Kick-off on November 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Bitlis 8 Ağustos Stadyumu, Bitlis

Bitlis ÖzgüzelderesporDiyarbekirspor

The Footlab model makes Bitlis Özgüzelderespor the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Diyarbekirspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Diyarbekirspor?

A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Bitlis Özgüzelderespor (1,547) and Diyarbekirspor (1,512).

Bitlis Özgüzelderespor win49 %
Draw27 %
Diyarbekirspor win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Bitlis Özgüzelderespor have 3 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Diyarbekirspor have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bitlis Özgüzelderespor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 16, 2025Karaköprü Belediyespor(away)1-2Türkiye Kupası
Oct 9, 20241954 Kelkit Belediyespor(home)1-1Türkiye Kupası
Sep 11, 2024Hakkari Zapspor(home)2-0Türkiye Kupası
Sep 15, 2022Mazıdağı Fosfatspor(away)0-3Türkiye Kupası
Aug 29, 2019Muş Sport Klübü(away)1-2Türkiye Kupası
Diyarbekirspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Kahramanmaraşspor(home)2-23. Lig - Group 2
Apr 12, 2026Kilis Belediyespor(away)4-03. Lig - Group 2
Apr 5, 2026Talasgücü Belediyespor(away)0-13. Lig - Group 2
Mar 29, 2026Mazıdağı Fosfatspor(home)0-13. Lig - Group 2
Mar 25, 2026Kırşehir Belediyespor(away)1-13. Lig - Group 2

How many goals should we expect?

Bitlis Özgüzelderespor score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 8; Diyarbekirspor score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bitlis Özgüzelderespor1.31.525/85/8
Diyarbekirspor1.11.356/156/15

Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Diyarbekirspor?
The Footlab model makes Bitlis Özgüzelderespor the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Diyarbekirspor.
Where and when is Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Diyarbekirspor played?
Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Diyarbekirspor is played on November 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Bitlis 8 Ağustos Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Bitlis Özgüzelderespor and Diyarbekirspor

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