Match

Adanaspor vs Bitlis Özgüzelderespor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Yeni Adana Stadyumu, Adana

AdanasporBitlis Özgüzelderespor

The Footlab model makes Bitlis Özgüzelderespor the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Adanaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Adanaspor vs Bitlis Özgüzelderespor?

Bitlis Özgüzelderespor starts as the favourite with a 213-point Elo edge (1,547 vs 1,334).

Adanaspor win32 %
Draw27 %
Bitlis Özgüzelderespor win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Adanaspor have 0 wins, 0 draws and 15 defeats; Bitlis Özgüzelderespor have 3, 1 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Adanaspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Muş Sport Klübü(away)0-62. Lig
Apr 18, 2026Arnavutköy Belediyespor(home)0-12. Lig
Apr 4, 20261461 Trabzon FK(home)0-32. Lig
Mar 25, 2026Aliağa FAŞ(home)1-82. Lig
Mar 15, 2026Somaspor(away)0-52. Lig
Bitlis Özgüzelderespor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 16, 2025Karaköprü Belediyespor(away)1-2Türkiye Kupası
Oct 9, 20241954 Kelkit Belediyespor(home)1-1Türkiye Kupası
Sep 11, 2024Hakkari Zapspor(home)2-0Türkiye Kupası
Sep 15, 2022Mazıdağı Fosfatspor(away)0-3Türkiye Kupası
Aug 29, 2019Muş Sport Klübü(away)1-2Türkiye Kupası

How many goals should we expect?

Adanaspor score 0.1 and concede 5.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bitlis Özgüzelderespor score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Adanaspor0.15.302/1514/15
Bitlis Özgüzelderespor1.31.525/85/8

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Adanaspor vs Bitlis Özgüzelderespor?
The Footlab model makes Bitlis Özgüzelderespor the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Adanaspor.
Where and when is Adanaspor vs Bitlis Özgüzelderespor played?
Adanaspor vs Bitlis Özgüzelderespor is played on November 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Adana Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Adanaspor and Bitlis Özgüzelderespor

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