Adanaspor vs Bitlis Özgüzelderespor: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Yeni Adana Stadyumu, Adana
The Footlab model makes Bitlis Özgüzelderespor the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Adanaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Adanaspor vs Bitlis Özgüzelderespor?
Bitlis Özgüzelderespor starts as the favourite with a 213-point Elo edge (1,547 vs 1,334).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Adanaspor have 0 wins, 0 draws and 15 defeats; Bitlis Özgüzelderespor have 3, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Muş Sport Klübü(away) | 0-6 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Arnavutköy Belediyespor(home) | 0-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | 1461 Trabzon FK(home) | 0-3 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Aliağa FAŞ(home) | 1-8 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Somaspor(away) | 0-5 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2025 | Karaköprü Belediyespor(away) | 1-2 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 1954 Kelkit Belediyespor(home) | 1-1 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Sep 11, 2024 | Hakkari Zapspor(home) | 2-0 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Sep 15, 2022 | Mazıdağı Fosfatspor(away) | 0-3 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Aug 29, 2019 | Muş Sport Klübü(away) | 1-2 | Türkiye Kupası |
How many goals should we expect?
Adanaspor score 0.1 and concede 5.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bitlis Özgüzelderespor score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adanaspor | 0.1 | 5.3 | 0 | 2/15 | 14/15 |
| Bitlis Özgüzelderespor | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 5/8 | 5/8 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Adanaspor vs Bitlis Özgüzelderespor?
- The Footlab model makes Bitlis Özgüzelderespor the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Adanaspor.
- Where and when is Adanaspor vs Bitlis Özgüzelderespor played?
- Adanaspor vs Bitlis Özgüzelderespor is played on November 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Adana Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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