Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 27Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Bitlis 8 Ağustos Stadyumu, Bitlis
The Footlab model makes Bitlis Özgüzelderespor the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Bitlis Özgüzelderespor (1,558) and Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu (1,531).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Bitlis Özgüzelderespor have 3 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2025 | Karaköprü Belediyespor(away) | 1-2 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 1954 Kelkit Belediyespor(home) | 1-1 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Sep 11, 2024 | Hakkari Zapspor(home) | 2-0 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Sep 15, 2022 | Mazıdağı Fosfatspor(away) | 0-3 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Aug 29, 2019 | Muş Sport Klübü(away) | 1-2 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2026 | Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor(home) | 0-6 | 2. Lig |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Bursaspor(away) | 0-3 | 2. Lig |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 68 Aksaray Belediyespor(home) | 1-8 | 2. Lig |
| Dec 22, 2025 | Kırklarelispor(away) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Dec 17, 2025 | Isparta 32 Spor(home) | 3-5 | 2. Lig |
How many goals should we expect?
Bitlis Özgüzelderespor score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 8; Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu score 1.4 and concede 3.0. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitlis Özgüzelderespor | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 5/8 | 5/8 |
| Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu | 1.4 | 3.0 | 3 | 6/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu?
- The Footlab model makes Bitlis Özgüzelderespor the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu.
- Where and when is Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu played?
- Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu is played on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Bitlis 8 Ağustos Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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