Match

Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 27Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Bitlis 8 Ağustos Stadyumu, Bitlis

Bitlis ÖzgüzelderesporYeni Mersin Idmanyurdu

The Footlab model makes Bitlis Özgüzelderespor the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu?

A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Bitlis Özgüzelderespor (1,558) and Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu (1,531).

Bitlis Özgüzelderespor win49 %
Draw27 %
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Bitlis Özgüzelderespor have 3 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bitlis Özgüzelderespor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 16, 2025Karaköprü Belediyespor(away)1-2Türkiye Kupası
Oct 9, 20241954 Kelkit Belediyespor(home)1-1Türkiye Kupası
Sep 11, 2024Hakkari Zapspor(home)2-0Türkiye Kupası
Sep 15, 2022Mazıdağı Fosfatspor(away)0-3Türkiye Kupası
Aug 29, 2019Muş Sport Klübü(away)1-2Türkiye Kupası
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jan 28, 2026 Kahramanmaraş İstiklal Spor(home)0-62. Lig
Jan 24, 2026Bursaspor(away)0-32. Lig
Jan 17, 202668 Aksaray Belediyespor(home)1-82. Lig
Dec 22, 2025Kırklarelispor(away)1-12. Lig
Dec 17, 2025Isparta 32 Spor(home)3-52. Lig

How many goals should we expect?

Bitlis Özgüzelderespor score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 8; Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu score 1.4 and concede 3.0. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bitlis Özgüzelderespor1.31.525/85/8
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu1.43.036/1512/15

Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu?
The Footlab model makes Bitlis Özgüzelderespor the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu.
Where and when is Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu played?
Bitlis Özgüzelderespor vs Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu is played on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Bitlis 8 Ağustos Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Bitlis Özgüzelderespor and Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu

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