Karaman FK vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 33. Lig Group 3 - 27Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Yeni Karaman Stadyumu, Karaman
The Footlab model makes Karaman FK the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Mazıdağı Fosfatspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karaman FK vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Karaman FK (1,512) and Mazıdağı Fosfatspor (1,591).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karaman FK have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Mazıdağı Fosfatspor have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Beykoz Anadolu(home) | 3-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Ankaraspor(away) | 4-5 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Muğlaspor(home) | 0-4 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Kastamonuspor(away) | 2-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Şanlıurfaspor(home) | 1-3 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2026 | Talasgücü Belediyespor(away) | 0-2 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Talasgücü Belediyespor(home) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Niğde Belediyesispor(away) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Kahramanmaraşspor(home) | 0-2 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Diyarbekirspor(away) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Karaman FK score 1.0 and concede 3.0 goals per match over their last 15; Mazıdağı Fosfatspor score 0.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karaman FK | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Mazıdağı Fosfatspor | 0.7 | 0.8 | 7 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karaman FK vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor?
- The Footlab model makes Karaman FK the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Mazıdağı Fosfatspor.
- Where and when is Karaman FK vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor played?
- Karaman FK vs Mazıdağı Fosfatspor is played on March 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Karaman Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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