Blackpool vs AFC Wimbledon: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 33Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Bloomfield Road, Blackpool, Lancashire
The Footlab model makes Blackpool the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for AFC Wimbledon. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Blackpool vs AFC Wimbledon?
Blackpool starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,849 vs 1,730).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Blackpool have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; AFC Wimbledon have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stockport County(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wycombe(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Grimsby(away) | 3-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Port Vale(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Barrow(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Reading(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Leyton Orient(away) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Huddersfield(away) | 0-3 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Newport County(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | QPR(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Blackpool win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 AFC Wimbledon win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon 4-1 Blackpool | League One |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Blackpool 0-2 AFC Wimbledon | League One |
| Mar 6, 2021 | Blackpool 1-1 AFC Wimbledon | League One |
| Oct 27, 2020 | AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Blackpool | League One |
| Feb 22, 2020 | AFC Wimbledon 0-0 Blackpool | League One |
| Nov 16, 2019 | Blackpool 2-0 AFC Wimbledon | League One |
Last archived meeting: AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool on Mar 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Blackpool score 1.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Wimbledon score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blackpool | 1.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| AFC Wimbledon | 0.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Blackpool sit 6th in League One (4 points from 2 matches) and AFC Wimbledon sit 23rd (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Blackpool | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 23 | AFC Wimbledon | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Blackpool vs AFC Wimbledon?
- The Footlab model makes Blackpool the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for AFC Wimbledon.
- Where and when is Blackpool vs AFC Wimbledon played?
- Blackpool vs AFC Wimbledon is played on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Bloomfield Road, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.