Burton Albion vs Milton Keynes Dons: prediction and stats
League OneMatchday 33Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Pirelli Stadium, Burton-upon-Trent, Staffordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Milton Keynes Dons the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Burton Albion. The most likely score is 1-1. If Milton Keynes Dons wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,777 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Burton Albion vs Milton Keynes Dons?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Burton Albion (1,692) and Milton Keynes Dons (1,783).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Burton Albion vs Milton Keynes Dons
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Burton Albion
3-4-2-1- 10Mark O’Mahony
- 4K. Chauke
- 17R. Borges Rodrigues
- 8C. Webster
- 14W. Collar
- 41Sulyman Krubally
- 24Harvey Araujo
- 16C. Tilt
- 6T. Sibbick
- 20J. Sraha
- 34C. Addai
Milton Keynes Dons
3-1-4-2- 10A. Collins
- 9S. Nombe
- 24R. Wintle
- 17S. Silvera
- 20Elijah Xavier Campbell
- 8A. Gilbey
- 22I. Fullah
- 5C. Goode
- 21M. Ekpiteta
- 32J. Sanders
- 23W. Dennis
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 10:13 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burton Albion have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Milton Keynes Dons have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2026 | Notts County(home) | 0-3 | EFL Trophy |
| Nov 7, 2026 | AFC Rushden & Diamonds(home) | 4-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Leyton Orient(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2026 | Bromley(away) | 2-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Swindon Town(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Doncaster(home) | 6-1 | League One |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Bromley(home) | 4-1 | League One |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Stevenage(away) | 1-0 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Burton Albion wins, 2 draws, 4 Milton Keynes Dons wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2023 | Burton Albion 0-0 Milton Keynes Dons | League One |
| Dec 3, 2022 | Milton Keynes Dons 1-1 Burton Albion | League One |
| Jan 25, 2022 | Burton Albion 0-1 Milton Keynes Dons | League One |
| Nov 20, 2021 | Milton Keynes Dons 1-0 Burton Albion | League One |
| Aug 31, 2021 | Burton Albion 1-2 Milton Keynes Dons | EFL Trophy |
| Mar 20, 2021 | Burton Albion 1-2 Milton Keynes Dons | League One |
Last archived meeting: Burton Albion vs Milton Keynes Dons on May 7, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Burton Albion score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Milton Keynes Dons score 2.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burton Albion | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Milton Keynes Dons | 2.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Burton Albion sit 15th in League One (17 points from 14 matches) and Milton Keynes Dons sit 12th (18 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Milton Keynes Dons | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 20 | 18 |
| 15 | Burton Albion | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 21 | 17 |
A question about Burton Albion vs Milton Keynes Dons?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Burton Albion vs Milton Keynes Dons?
- The Footlab AI model makes Milton Keynes Dons the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Burton Albion.
- Where and when is Burton Albion vs Milton Keynes Dons played?
- Burton Albion vs Milton Keynes Dons is played on February 27, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Pirelli Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.