Blackpool vs Crewe: prediction and stats
EFL TrophyGroup North - 2Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Bloomfield Road, Blackpool, Lancashire
The Footlab model makes Blackpool the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Crewe. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Blackpool vs Crewe?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Blackpool (1,850) and Crewe (1,786).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Blackpool have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Crewe have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stockport County(away) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wycombe(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Grimsby(away) | 3-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Port Vale(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Barrow(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Northampton(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Crawley Town(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Accrington ST(home) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chester(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Birmingham(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Blackpool win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Crewe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2024 | Blackpool 4-1 Crewe | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Crewe 0-2 Blackpool | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 2, 2021 | Blackpool 1-1 Crewe | League One |
| Oct 17, 2020 | Crewe 1-1 Blackpool | League One |
| Feb 18, 2017 | Blackpool 2-2 Crewe | League Two |
| Sep 24, 2016 | Crewe 1-1 Blackpool | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Blackpool score 1.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Crewe score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blackpool | 1.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Crewe | 1.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Blackpool sit 2nd in EFL Trophy (6 points from 3 matches) and Crewe sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crewe | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Blackpool | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Blackpool vs Crewe?
- The Footlab model makes Blackpool the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Crewe.
- Where and when is Blackpool vs Crewe played?
- Blackpool vs Crewe is played on September 2, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Bloomfield Road, in the EFL Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.