Boca Juniors vs Independ. Rivadavia: prediction and stats
Liga Profesional ArgentinaRound of 16Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Mâs Monumental, Buenos Aires
The Footlab AI model makes Boca Juniors the favourite at 64%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Independ. Rivadavia. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,188 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Boca Juniors vs Independ. Rivadavia?
Boca Juniors starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (2,068 vs 1,959).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Boca Juniors vs Independ. Rivadavia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Boca Juniors
4-3-3- 16M. Merentiel
- 22S. Villa
- 19L. Flores
- 18M. Delgado
- 25S. Ascacíbar
- 5L. Paredes
- 2L. Di Lollo
- 17L. Lozano
- 42F. Herrera
- 3L. Blanco
- 1Á. Montero
Independ. Rivadavia
4-4-2- 9A. Arce
- 43F. Sartori
- 25J. Florentín
- 5T. Bottari
- 11G. Ríos
- 8L. Bucca
- 3J. Elordi
- 13A. Osella
- 40I. Villalba
- 2L. Costa
- 30Nicolás Bolcato
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 07:06 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Boca Juniors have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat; Independ. Rivadavia have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Banfield(away) | 3-0 | Copa Argentina |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Defensa Y Justicia(home) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Nov 1, 2026 | River Plate(home) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Independiente(away) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 3-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2026 | Estudiantes L.P.(away) | 2-3 | Super Copa |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Gimnasia M.(away) | 1-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Banfield(home) | 3-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Argentinos JRS(away) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Tigre(home) | 2-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Boca Juniors wins, 1 draw, 0 Independ. Rivadavia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2025 | Independ. Rivadavia 0-3 Boca Juniors | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Feb 11, 2025 | Boca Juniors 2-0 Independ. Rivadavia | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Independ. Rivadavia 1-1 Boca Juniors | Liga Profesional Argentina |
Last archived meeting: Independ. Rivadavia vs Boca Juniors on Aug 17, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Boca Juniors score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Independ. Rivadavia score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boca Juniors | 1.9 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Independ. Rivadavia | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Boca Juniors sit 2nd in Liga Profesional Argentina (33 points from 16 matches) and Independ. Rivadavia sit 7th (23 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Boca JuniorsGroup A | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 24 | 14 | 33 |
| 7 | Independ. RivadaviaGroup B | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 24 | 23 |
A question about Boca Juniors vs Independ. Rivadavia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Boca Juniors vs Independ. Rivadavia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Boca Juniors the favourite at 64%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Independ. Rivadavia.
- Where and when is Boca Juniors vs Independ. Rivadavia played?
- Boca Juniors vs Independ. Rivadavia is played on November 22, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Mâs Monumental, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.