Match

River Plate vs Lanus: prediction and stats

Liga Profesional ArgentinaRound of 16Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Mâs Monumental, Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires

River PlateLanus

The Footlab AI model makes River Plate the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Lanus. The most likely score is 1-1. If River Plate wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,188 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win River Plate vs Lanus?

On Elo ratings, River Plate has 1,993 points and Lanus 1,925.

50%28%22%
River Plate winDrawLanus win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for River Plate vs Lanus

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

River Plate

4-3-1-2
  1. 10Á. Correa
  2. 18L. Beltrán
  1. 26T. Galván
  2. 50T. Andrada
  3. 23T. Almada
  4. 6A. Moreno
  1. 30N. Otamendi
  2. 21M. Acuña
  3. 29G. Montiel
  4. 13L. Rivero
  1. 41S. Beltrán

Lanus

4-2-3-1
  1. 20A. Wlk
  1. 11E. Salvio
  2. 77L. Besozzi
  3. 5F. Peña
  4. 30A. Cardozo
  5. 16M. Sepúlveda
  1. 6S. Marcich
  2. 33T. Guidara
  3. 24C. Izquierdoz
  4. 35R. De Jesús
  1. 26N. Losada

Computed on November 15, 2026 at 07:07 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, River Plate have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Lanus have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

River Plate
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 5, 2026Aldosivi(away)2-0Liga Profesional Argentina
Nov 1, 2026Boca Juniors(away)0-1Liga Profesional Argentina
Oct 25, 2026Racing Club(home)1-0Liga Profesional Argentina
Oct 18, 2026Belgrano Cordoba(away)3-0Liga Profesional Argentina
Oct 14, 2026Sarmiento Junin(away)1-1Liga Profesional Argentina
Lanus
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Central Cordoba de Santiago(away)1-1Liga Profesional Argentina
Nov 1, 2026Gimnasia M.(home)1-1Liga Profesional Argentina
Oct 24, 2026Banfield(away)1-1Liga Profesional Argentina
Oct 17, 2026Platense(away)1-0Liga Profesional Argentina
Oct 12, 2026Velez Sarsfield(home)2-0Liga Profesional Argentina

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 River Plate wins, 2 draws, 0 Lanus wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2025Lanus 1-1 River PlateLiga Profesional Argentina
Feb 16, 2025River Plate 1-0 LanusLiga Profesional Argentina
Jul 21, 2024River Plate 2-2 LanusLiga Profesional Argentina
Mar 4, 2023Lanus 0-2 River PlateLiga Profesional Argentina
Jun 25, 2022River Plate 2-1 LanusLiga Profesional Argentina
Jul 29, 2021Lanus 0-3 River PlateLiga Profesional Argentina

Last archived meeting: Lanus vs River Plate on Aug 26, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

River Plate score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Lanus score 1.2 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
River Plate1.50.867/156/15
Lanus1.20.867/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

River Plate sit 4th in Liga Profesional Argentina (26 points from 16 matches) and Lanus sit 5th (26 points from 16 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4River PlateGroup B16826211426
5LanusGroup A16754191226

A question about River Plate vs Lanus?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for River Plate vs Lanus?
The Footlab AI model makes River Plate the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Lanus.
Where and when is River Plate vs Lanus played?
River Plate vs Lanus is played on November 22, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Mâs Monumental, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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