Boeung Ket vs National Defense: prediction and stats
C-LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Cambodia Airways Stadium, Phnom Penh
The Footlab model makes Boeung Ket the favourite at 81%, against 12% for a draw and 7% for National Defense. The most likely score is 3-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Boeung Ket vs National Defense?
Boeung Ket is a heavy favourite: 1,738 Elo points against 1,366 — a 372-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Boeung Ket have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; National Defense have 1, 1 and 13.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 20, 2026 | Svay Rieng(away) | 2-3 | Hun Sen Cup |
| May 17, 2026 | Kompong Dewa(home) | 4-3 | C-League |
| May 7, 2026 | Svay Rieng(away) | 3-2 | C-League |
| May 3, 2026 | Phnom Penh Crown(home) | 2-0 | C-League |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Svay Rieng(home) | 1-1 | Hun Sen Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Dangkor Senchey(away) | 0-6 | C-League |
| May 9, 2026 | Visakha(away) | 0-4 | C-League |
| May 2, 2026 | Life Sihanoukville(home) | 0-4 | C-League |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Kirivong Sok Sen Chey(home) | 3-1 | C-League |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Visakha(home) | 1-3 | C-League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Boeung Ket win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 National Defense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | Boeung Ket 2-0 National Defense | Hun Sen Cup |
| Mar 4, 2026 | National Defense 0-2 Boeung Ket | Hun Sen Cup |
| Jan 4, 2026 | National Defense 0-6 Boeung Ket | C-League |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Boeung Ket 1-1 National Defense | C-League |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Boeung Ket 1-1 National Defense | C-League |
| Oct 24, 2024 | National Defense 2-5 Boeung Ket | C-League |
Last archived meeting: Boeung Ket vs National Defense on Mar 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Boeung Ket score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; National Defense score 0.8 and concede 3.5. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boeung Ket | 1.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| National Defense | 0.8 | 3.5 | 0 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Boeung Ket sit 4th in C-League (53 points from 30 matches) and National Defense sit 3rd (21 points from 28 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | National Defense | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 76 | 21 |
| 4 | Boeung Ket | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 29 | 53 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Boeung Ket vs National Defense?
- The Footlab model makes Boeung Ket the favourite at 81%, against 12% for a draw and 7% for National Defense.
- Where and when is Boeung Ket vs National Defense played?
- Boeung Ket vs National Defense is played on November 28, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Cambodia Airways Stadium, in the C-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.