Svay Rieng vs Phnom Penh Crown: prediction and stats
C-LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Sports Complex Svay Rieng, Svay Rieng
The Footlab model makes Svay Rieng the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Phnom Penh Crown. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Svay Rieng vs Phnom Penh Crown?
Svay Rieng starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,873 vs 1,771).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Svay Rieng have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Phnom Penh Crown have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Visakha(home) | 4-4 | Hun Sen Cup |
| May 20, 2026 | Boeung Ket(home) | 3-2 | Hun Sen Cup |
| May 17, 2026 | Phnom Penh Crown(home) | 1-2 | C-League |
| May 13, 2026 | Al Kuwait(away) | 3-4 | AFC Challenge League |
| May 7, 2026 | Boeung Ket(home) | 2-3 | C-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Svay Rieng(away) | 2-1 | C-League |
| May 10, 2026 | NagaWorld(home) | 3-0 | C-League |
| May 3, 2026 | Boeung Ket(away) | 0-2 | C-League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Kompong Dewa(away) | 0-1 | C-League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Angkor Tiger(home) | 2-0 | C-League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Svay Rieng win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Phnom Penh Crown win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Svay Rieng 1-2 Phnom Penh Crown | C-League |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Phnom Penh Crown 1-4 Svay Rieng | C-League |
| Mar 12, 2026 | Svay Rieng 2-1 Phnom Penh Crown | AFC Challenge League |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Phnom Penh Crown 1-4 Svay Rieng | AFC Challenge League |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Phnom Penh Crown 2-3 Svay Rieng | C-League |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Svay Rieng 2-3 Phnom Penh Crown | C-League |
Last archived meeting: Svay Rieng vs Phnom Penh Crown on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Svay Rieng score 2.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Phnom Penh Crown score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svay Rieng | 2.3 | 1.8 | 2 | 13/15 | 10/15 |
| Phnom Penh Crown | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Svay Rieng sit 1st in C-League (66 points from 30 matches) and Phnom Penh Crown sit 3rd (56 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Svay Rieng | 30 | 21 | 3 | 6 | 83 | 34 | 66 |
| 3 | Phnom Penh Crown | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 53 | 36 | 56 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Svay Rieng vs Phnom Penh Crown?
- The Footlab model makes Svay Rieng the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Phnom Penh Crown.
- Where and when is Svay Rieng vs Phnom Penh Crown played?
- Svay Rieng vs Phnom Penh Crown is played on November 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sports Complex Svay Rieng, in the C-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.