Where and when is Boise vs Charlotte Independence played?

Boise vs Charlotte Independence is played on September 17, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC), in the USL League One.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Boise vs Charlotte Independence: prediction and stats

USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on September 17, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC)

Boise

Charlotte Independence

The Footlab model makes Boise the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Charlotte Independence. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Boise vs Charlotte Independence?

A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Boise (1,720) and Charlotte Independence (1,780).

Boise win47 %

Draw23 %

Charlotte Independence win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Boise have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Charlotte Independence have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Boise
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	One Knoxville(away)	2-2	USL League One
Aug 13, 2026	Sporting San Jose(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 9, 2026	Forward Madison(home)	2-1	USL League One
Aug 2, 2026	Corpus Christi(home)	0-0	USL League One
Jul 29, 2026	Greenville Triumph(away)	2-3	USL League One

Charlotte Independence
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Forward Madison(away)	1-1	USL League One
Aug 15, 2026	Sarasota Paradise(home)	3-1	USL League One
Aug 12, 2026	Hartford Athletic(home)	2-4	USL League One Cup
Aug 8, 2026	Greenville Triumph(home)	1-0	USL League One
Aug 1, 2026	One Knoxville(home)	3-1	USL League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Boise win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Charlotte Independence win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 6, 2026	Charlotte Independence 1-0 Boise	USL League One

Last archived meeting: Charlotte Independence vs Boise on May 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Boise score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Charlotte Independence score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Boise	1.5	1.3	5	10/15	10/15
Charlotte Independence	2.1	1.5	3	11/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Boise sit 6th in USL League One (35 points from 22 matches) and Charlotte Independence sit 2nd (43 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Charlotte Independence	21	13	4	4	47	29	43
6	Boise	22	10	5	7	33	31	35

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Boise vs Charlotte Independence?: The Footlab model makes Boise the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Charlotte Independence.
Where and when is Boise vs Charlotte Independence played?: Boise vs Charlotte Independence is played on September 17, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC), in the USL League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.