Charlotte Independence vs Boise: prediction and stats
USL League OneFinalKick-off on November 15, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)American Legion Memorial Stadium, Charlotte, North Carolina
The Footlab AI model makes Charlotte Independence the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Boise. The most likely score is 1-1. If Charlotte Independence wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,337 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Charlotte Independence vs Boise?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Charlotte Independence (1,840) and Boise (1,821).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Charlotte Independence vs Boise
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Charlotte Independence
4-3-3- 10Jon Bakero
- 26S. Marou
- 7P. Saydee
- 14R. Manin
- 6J. Fuchs
- 8C. Jaime
- 17C. Dimick
- 3J. Skinner
- 5J. Romero
- 4S. Coulibaly
- 28M. Levy
Boise
3-4-3- 11T. Moshobane
- 10D. Kostyshyn
- 36Jesús Rafael Barea Barroso
- 14N. Moon
- 66P. Mayaka
- 6C. Adams
- 7B. Bodily
- 16J. Crull
- 25J. Dengler
- 2J. Ricketts
- 99J. Mazzola
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 10:49 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Charlotte Independence have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Boise have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2026 | Forward Madison(home) | 2-1 | USL League One |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Naples(home) | 5-1 | USL League One |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Portland Hearts of Pine(away) | 1-4 | USL League One |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Greenville Triumph(away) | 3-0 | USL League One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | NY Cosmos(home) | 3-0 | USL League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Chattanooga Red Wolves(home) | 1-0 | USL League One |
| Nov 2, 2026 | One Knoxville(home) | 2-0 | USL League One |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Fort Wayne(away) | 2-0 | USL League One |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Alta(home) | 2-1 | USL League One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Portland Hearts of Pine(away) | 2-1 | USL League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Charlotte Independence win, 1 draw, 0 Boise wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2026 | Boise 1-1 Charlotte Independence | USL League One |
| May 6, 2026 | Charlotte Independence 1-0 Boise | USL League One |
Last archived meeting: Boise vs Charlotte Independence on Sep 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Charlotte Independence score 2.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Boise score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Independence | 2.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Boise | 1.7 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Charlotte Independence sit 1st in USL League One (66 points from 32 matches) and Boise sit 3rd (58 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 74 | 46 | 66 |
| 3 | Boise | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51 | 41 | 58 |
A question about Charlotte Independence vs Boise?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Charlotte Independence vs Boise?
- The Footlab AI model makes Charlotte Independence the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Boise.
- Where and when is Charlotte Independence vs Boise played?
- Charlotte Independence vs Boise is played on November 15, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at American Legion Memorial Stadium, in the USL League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.