Bollullos vs Chiclana: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 10Group 10 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Eloy Ávila Cano Bollullos, Bollullos Par del Condado
The Footlab model makes Bollullos the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Chiclana. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bollullos vs Chiclana?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Bollullos (1,773) and Chiclana (1,717).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bollullos have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Chiclana have 2, 8 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Atlético Central(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| May 17, 2026 | Atlético Central(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| May 10, 2026 | Utrera(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| May 3, 2026 | Dos Hermanas(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Cádiz II(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| May 3, 2026 | Pozoblanco(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | San Roque Lepe(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Castilleja(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Coria CF(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Bollullos win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Chiclana win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | Chiclana 2-2 Bollullos | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Bollullos 2-1 Chiclana | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
How many goals should we expect?
Bollullos score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Chiclana score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bollullos | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Chiclana | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bollullos sit 4th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 (53 points from 34 matches) and Chiclana sit 12th (43 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Bollullos | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 43 | 35 | 53 |
| 12 | Chiclana | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 39 | 45 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bollullos vs Chiclana?
- The Footlab model makes Bollullos the favourite at 56%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Chiclana.
- Where and when is Bollullos vs Chiclana played?
- Bollullos vs Chiclana is played on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Eloy Ávila Cano Bollullos, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 10.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.