Bolton vs Port Vale: result 3-1 and analysis
League OneRegular Season - 16Kick-off on October 29, 2016 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Toughsheet Community Stadium, Bolton
Full time
What was the result of Bolton vs Port Vale?
Bolton won 3-1 on October 29, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 7′Z. CloughBolton
- 11′J. VelaBolton
- 16′L. WilsonBolton
- 75′S. HartPort Vale
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bolton have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Port Vale have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2016 | Bury(away) | 2-0 | League One |
| Oct 18, 2016 | Millwall(away) | 2-0 | League One |
| Oct 15, 2016 | Oldham(home) | 2-0 | League One |
| Oct 8, 2016 | Swindon Town(away) | 1-0 | League One |
| Oct 4, 2016 | Blackpool(home) | 1-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2016 | Oxford United(home) | 2-2 | League One |
| Oct 18, 2016 | Charlton(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Oct 15, 2016 | Sheffield Utd(away) | 0-4 | League One |
| Oct 9, 2016 | Milton Keynes Dons(away) | 1-0 | League One |
| Oct 4, 2016 | Mansfield Town(home) | 0-1 | EFL Trophy |
How many goals should we expect?
Bolton score 1.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Port Vale score 1.2 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolton | 1.0 | 0.7 | 6 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
| Port Vale | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bolton sit 5th in League One (75 points from 46 matches) and Port Vale sit 22nd (42 points from 46 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bolton | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70 | 52 | 75 |
| 22 | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36 | 61 | 42 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy