Bolton vs Blackburn: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 19Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Toughsheet Community Stadium, Bolton
The Footlab AI model makes Bolton the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Blackburn. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bolton wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,455 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bolton vs Blackburn?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Bolton (1,936) and Blackburn (1,911).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bolton vs Blackburn
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bolton
4-2-3-1- 10S. Dalby
- 8J. Sheehan
- 21E. Erhahon
- 11T. Gale
- 16S. Iling-Junior
- 20Ruben Rodrigues
- 22Gaizka Larrazabal
- 18E. Toal
- 25M. Conway
- 6B. Davies
- 31G. Bazunu
Blackburn
4-2-3-1- 9A. Guðjohnsen
- 25R. Morishita
- 21O. Afolayan
- 10T. Cantwell
- 31Kristi Montgomery
- 8Sam Morsy
- 15S. McLoughlin
- 2R. Alebiosu
- 17H. Carter
- 3H. Pickering
- 22B. Tóth
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 05:29 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bolton have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Blackburn have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Wolves(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Stoke City(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Norwich(away) | 4-3 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cardiff(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | West Ham(home) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Bristol City(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cardiff(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Portsmouth(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Millwall(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Bolton win, 2 draws, 3 Blackburn wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2021 | Bolton 2-2 Blackburn | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 22, 2019 | Blackburn 2-0 Bolton | Championship |
| Oct 6, 2018 | Bolton 0-1 Blackburn | Championship |
| Dec 28, 2015 | Bolton 1-0 Blackburn | Championship |
| Aug 28, 2015 | Blackburn 0-0 Bolton | Championship |
| Mar 11, 2015 | Blackburn 1-0 Bolton | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Bolton score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Blackburn score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolton | 1.3 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Blackburn | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bolton sit 14th in Championship (13 points from 10 matches) and Blackburn sit 9th (15 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Blackburn | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 15 |
| 14 | Bolton | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 18 | 13 |
A question about Bolton vs Blackburn?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bolton vs Blackburn?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bolton the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Blackburn.
- Where and when is Bolton vs Blackburn played?
- Bolton vs Blackburn is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Toughsheet Community Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.