Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Berwick Rangers: prediction and stats
Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Ferguson Park, Rosewell
The Footlab model makes Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic the favourite at 71%, against 16% for a draw and 13% for Berwick Rangers. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Berwick Rangers?
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic starts as the favourite with a 236-point Elo edge (1,690 vs 1,454).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Berwick Rangers have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Berwick Rangers(away) | 2-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Annan Athletic(home) | 1-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | East Stirlingshire(home) | 4-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Brechin(home) | 1-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Bo'ness United(away) | 4-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic(home) | 0-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stirling University(home) | 3-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hearts U21(home) | 3-4 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brechin(away) | 3-4 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hill Of Beath Hawthorn(home) | 0-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Berwick Rangers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Berwick Rangers 0-2 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Football League - Lowland League |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Berwick Rangers 2-2 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Football League - Lowland League |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 3-4 Berwick Rangers | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jun 29, 2024 | Berwick Rangers 0-3 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 12, 2022 | Berwick Rangers 1-4 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | Football League - Lowland League |
| Sep 4, 2021 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 3-0 Berwick Rangers | Football League - Lowland League |
Last archived meeting: Berwick Rangers vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic score 2.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Berwick Rangers score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | 2.4 | 1.4 | 6 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Berwick Rangers | 1.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic sit 9th in Football League - Lowland League (12 points from 5 matches) and Berwick Rangers sit 22nd (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 3 | 12 |
| 22 | Berwick Rangers | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Berwick Rangers?
- The Footlab model makes Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic the favourite at 71%, against 16% for a draw and 13% for Berwick Rangers.
- Where and when is Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Berwick Rangers played?
- Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Berwick Rangers is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Ferguson Park, in the Football League - Lowland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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