Match

Brechin vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic: prediction and stats

Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Carnegie Fuels Stadium at Glebe Park, Brechin

BrechinBonnyrigg Rose Athletic

The Footlab model makes Brechin the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Brechin vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic?

A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Brechin (1,681) and Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic (1,690).

Brechin win41 %
Draw23 %
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brechin have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Brechin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Civil Service Strollers(away)2-0Football League - Lowland League
Aug 8, 2026Berwick Rangers(home)4-3Football League - Lowland League
Aug 1, 2026Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic(away)2-1Football League - Lowland League
Jul 29, 2026East Stirlingshire(away)3-3Football League - Lowland League
Jul 25, 2026Forfar Athletic(away)1-3League Cup
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Berwick Rangers(away)2-0Football League - Lowland League
Aug 11, 2026Annan Athletic(home)1-0Challenge Cup
Aug 8, 2026East Stirlingshire(home)4-1Football League - Lowland League
Aug 1, 2026Brechin(home)1-2Football League - Lowland League
Jul 28, 2026Bo'ness United(away)4-0Football League - Lowland League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Brechin win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 1, 2026Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 1-2 BrechinFootball League - Lowland League

Last archived meeting: Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic vs Brechin on Aug 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Brechin score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic score 2.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Brechin1.52.1310/1511/15
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic2.41.469/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Brechin sit 11th in Football League - Lowland League (10 points from 4 matches) and Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic sit 9th (12 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic540114312
11Brechin431011710

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Brechin vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic?
The Footlab model makes Brechin the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic.
Where and when is Brechin vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic played?
Brechin vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic is played on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Carnegie Fuels Stadium at Glebe Park, in the Football League - Lowland League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Brechin and Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic

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