Borac Cacak vs Grafičar: prediction and stats
Prva LigaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Borca kraj Morave, Čačak
The Footlab model makes Borac Cacak the favourite at 56%, against 28% for a draw and 16% for Grafičar. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Borac Cacak vs Grafičar?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Borac Cacak (1,645) and Grafičar (1,568).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Borac Cacak have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Grafičar have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Dubočica(away) | 2-0 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Naftagas(home) | 2-1 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Loznica(away) | 3-2 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FK Vozdovac(home) | 1-0 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Semendrija 1924(away) | 2-3 | Prva Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Loznica(home) | 2-2 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FK Vozdovac(away) | 1-0 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Semendrija 1924(home) | 1-2 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Napredak(away) | 0-1 | Prva Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Borac Cacak(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Borac Cacak win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Grafičar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Borac Cacak 3-0 Grafičar | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 7, 2026 | Borac Cacak 2-0 Grafičar | Prva Liga |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Borac Cacak 0-0 Grafičar | Prva Liga |
| Aug 21, 2025 | Grafičar 3-1 Borac Cacak | Prva Liga |
| Apr 23, 2025 | Borac Cacak 1-2 Grafičar | Prva Liga |
| Feb 27, 2025 | Grafičar 3-1 Borac Cacak | Prva Liga |
Last archived meeting: Borac Cacak vs Grafičar on Jul 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Borac Cacak score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Grafičar score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borac Cacak | 1.7 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Grafičar | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Borac Cacak sit 1st in Prva Liga (12 points from 5 matches) and Grafičar sit 10th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borac Cacak | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 12 |
| 10 | Grafičar | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Borac Cacak vs Grafičar?
- The Footlab model makes Borac Cacak the favourite at 56%, against 28% for a draw and 16% for Grafičar.
- Where and when is Borac Cacak vs Grafičar played?
- Borac Cacak vs Grafičar is played on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Borca kraj Morave, in the Prva Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.