Naftagas vs Metalac GM: prediction and stats
Prva LigaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion FK Naftagas, Elemir
The Footlab model makes Naftagas the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Metalac GM. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Naftagas vs Metalac GM?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Naftagas (1,600) and Metalac GM (1,604).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Naftagas have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Metalac GM have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Borac Cacak(away) | 1-2 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dubočica(home) | 2-3 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | OFK Vršac(away) | 0-1 | Prva Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Loznica(away) | 0-0 | Prva Liga |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Macva(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FK Vozdovac(away) | 0-1 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Semendrija 1924(home) | 0-0 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Napredak(away) | 1-2 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV(home) | 2-4 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Jedinstvo Ub(away) | 1-0 | Prva Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Naftagas score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Metalac GM score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naftagas | 1.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Metalac GM | 1.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Naftagas sit 16th in Prva Liga (1 points from 4 matches) and Metalac GM sit 12th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Metalac GM | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 16 | Naftagas | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Naftagas vs Metalac GM?
- The Footlab model makes Naftagas the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Metalac GM.
- Where and when is Naftagas vs Metalac GM played?
- Naftagas vs Metalac GM is played on September 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion FK Naftagas, in the Prva Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.