Bornheim vs Hennef 05: prediction and stats
Oberliga - MittelrheinMittelrhein - 17Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Bornheim the favourite at 66%, against 17% for a draw and 17% for Hennef 05. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bornheim vs Hennef 05?
Bornheim starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,799 vs 1,698).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bornheim have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Hennef 05 have 7, 0 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Hennef 05(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | VfL Vichttal(home) | 3-6 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Düren Merzenich(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | Fortuna Köln II(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 3, 2026 | Eintracht Hohkeppel(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Bornheim(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Siegburger SV(away) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 25, 2026 | Teutonia Weiden(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Porz(away) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | Wegberg-Beeck(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Bornheim win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Hennef 05 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Hennef 05 1-3 Bornheim | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Dec 12, 2025 | Bornheim 3-1 Hennef 05 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
How many goals should we expect?
Bornheim score 2.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hennef 05 score 1.8 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 82% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bornheim | 2.3 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Hennef 05 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bornheim sit 8th in Oberliga - Mittelrhein (46 points from 30 matches) and Hennef 05 sit 12th (35 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bornheim | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 65 | 56 | 46 |
| 12 | Hennef 05 | 30 | 11 | 2 | 17 | 45 | 66 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bornheim vs Hennef 05?
- The Footlab model makes Bornheim the favourite at 66%, against 17% for a draw and 17% for Hennef 05.
- Where and when is Bornheim vs Hennef 05 played?
- Bornheim vs Hennef 05 is played on February 28, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC), in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 82% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.