VfL Vichttal vs Porz: prediction and stats
Oberliga - MittelrheinMittelrhein - 17Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 02:45 PM (UTC)Sportplatz Dörenberg - EWV Arena, Stolberg (Rhineland)
The Footlab model makes VfL Vichttal the favourite at 83%, against 9% for a draw and 7% for Porz. The most likely score is 4-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win VfL Vichttal vs Porz?
VfL Vichttal starts as the favourite with a 278-point Elo edge (1,882 vs 1,604).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfL Vichttal have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Porz have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | TuS BW Königsdorf(home) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Bornheim(away) | 6-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 25, 2026 | Siegburger SV(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 15, 2026 | Teutonia Weiden(away) | 6-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | Porz(home) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Bergisch Gladbach(away) | 0-10 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Frechen(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 22, 2026 | SSV Merten(away) | 3-8 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Hennef 05(home) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | VfL Vichttal(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 VfL Vichttal win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Porz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | VfL Vichttal 3-3 Porz | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Porz 2-5 VfL Vichttal | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Apr 6, 2025 | VfL Vichttal 6-2 Porz | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Porz 2-1 VfL Vichttal | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 12, 2024 | Porz 0-2 VfL Vichttal | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Nov 10, 2023 | VfL Vichttal 4-0 Porz | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
How many goals should we expect?
VfL Vichttal score 3.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Porz score 1.7 and concede 4.1. The model gives a 91% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfL Vichttal | 3.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Porz | 1.7 | 4.1 | 1 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
VfL Vichttal sit 5th in Oberliga - Mittelrhein (59 points from 30 matches) and Porz sit 13th (25 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | VfL Vichttal | 30 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 80 | 43 | 59 |
| 13 | Porz | 30 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 58 | 99 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for VfL Vichttal vs Porz?
- The Footlab model makes VfL Vichttal the favourite at 83%, against 9% for a draw and 7% for Porz.
- Where and when is VfL Vichttal vs Porz played?
- VfL Vichttal vs Porz is played on February 28, 2027 at 02:45 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz Dörenberg - EWV Arena, in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 91% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.