Bornheim vs Porz: prediction and stats
Oberliga - MittelrheinMittelrhein - 19Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Bornheim the favourite at 73%, against 13% for a draw and 14% for Porz. The most likely score is 3-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bornheim vs Porz?
Bornheim starts as the favourite with a 195-point Elo edge (1,799 vs 1,604).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bornheim have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Porz have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Hennef 05(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | VfL Vichttal(home) | 3-6 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Düren Merzenich(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | Fortuna Köln II(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 3, 2026 | Eintracht Hohkeppel(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Bergisch Gladbach(away) | 0-10 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Frechen(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 22, 2026 | SSV Merten(away) | 3-8 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Hennef 05(home) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | VfL Vichttal(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Bornheim win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Porz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Bornheim 4-1 Porz | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Porz 0-5 Bornheim | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
How many goals should we expect?
Bornheim score 2.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Porz score 1.7 and concede 4.1. The model gives a 90% probability of over 2.5 goals and 80% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bornheim | 2.3 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Porz | 1.7 | 4.1 | 1 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bornheim sit 8th in Oberliga - Mittelrhein (46 points from 30 matches) and Porz sit 13th (25 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bornheim | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 65 | 56 | 46 |
| 13 | Porz | 30 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 58 | 99 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bornheim vs Porz?
- The Footlab model makes Bornheim the favourite at 73%, against 13% for a draw and 14% for Porz.
- Where and when is Bornheim vs Porz played?
- Bornheim vs Porz is played on March 14, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC), in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 90% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.