SSV Merten vs Bornheim: prediction and stats
Oberliga - MittelrheinMittelrhein - 20Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)MerKur Kunstrasenplatz, Bornheim
The Footlab model makes SSV Merten the favourite at 68%, against 17% for a draw and 16% for Bornheim. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SSV Merten vs Bornheim?
SSV Merten starts as the favourite with a 146-point Elo edge (1,945 vs 1,799).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SSV Merten have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Bornheim have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Siegburger SV(home) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Teutonia Weiden(away) | 10-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 22, 2026 | Porz(home) | 8-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Wegberg-Beeck(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | Bergisch Gladbach(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Hennef 05(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | VfL Vichttal(home) | 3-6 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Düren Merzenich(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | Fortuna Köln II(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 3, 2026 | Eintracht Hohkeppel(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 SSV Merten win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Bornheim win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Bornheim 0-0 SSV Merten | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Aug 29, 2025 | SSV Merten 3-0 Bornheim | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
Last archived meeting: Bornheim vs SSV Merten on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SSV Merten score 3.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bornheim score 2.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SSV Merten | 3.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Bornheim | 2.3 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SSV Merten sit 4th in Oberliga - Mittelrhein (60 points from 30 matches) and Bornheim sit 8th (46 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | SSV Merten | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 80 | 28 | 60 |
| 8 | Bornheim | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 65 | 56 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SSV Merten vs Bornheim?
- The Footlab model makes SSV Merten the favourite at 68%, against 17% for a draw and 16% for Bornheim.
- Where and when is SSV Merten vs Bornheim played?
- SSV Merten vs Bornheim is played on March 21, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at MerKur Kunstrasenplatz, in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.