Borussia Dortmund II vs Sportfreunde Lotte: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - WestWest - 17Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Rote Erde, Dortmund
The Footlab model makes Borussia Dortmund II the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Sportfreunde Lotte. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Borussia Dortmund II vs Sportfreunde Lotte?
A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Borussia Dortmund II (1,967) and Sportfreunde Lotte (1,869).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Borussia Dortmund II have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Sportfreunde Lotte have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Bergisch Gladbach(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Köln II(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bochum II(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Dordrecht(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bochum II(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Bonner SC(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rot-weiss Oberhausen(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Gutersloh(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Real Betis(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Borussia Dortmund II win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Sportfreunde Lotte win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund II 1-1 Sportfreunde Lotte | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Sportfreunde Lotte 3-5 Borussia Dortmund II | Regionalliga - West |
| Jan 31, 2021 | Borussia Dortmund II 4-0 Sportfreunde Lotte | Regionalliga - West |
| Sep 16, 2020 | Sportfreunde Lotte 0-2 Borussia Dortmund II | Regionalliga - West |
| Dec 14, 2019 | Sportfreunde Lotte 1-1 Borussia Dortmund II | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 4, 2019 | Borussia Dortmund II 2-1 Sportfreunde Lotte | Regionalliga - West |
Last archived meeting: Borussia Dortmund II vs Sportfreunde Lotte on Jan 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Borussia Dortmund II score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Sportfreunde Lotte score 1.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund II | 1.6 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Sportfreunde Lotte | 1.0 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Borussia Dortmund II sit 8th in Regionalliga - West (5 points from 3 matches) and Sportfreunde Lotte sit 16th (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Borussia Dortmund II | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
| 16 | Sportfreunde Lotte | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Borussia Dortmund II vs Sportfreunde Lotte?
- The Footlab model makes Borussia Dortmund II the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Sportfreunde Lotte.
- Where and when is Borussia Dortmund II vs Sportfreunde Lotte played?
- Borussia Dortmund II vs Sportfreunde Lotte is played on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Rote Erde, in the Regionalliga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026SG Wattenscheid 09vsKöln II
- Nov 21, 2026SV RodinghausenvsSchalke 04 II
- Nov 21, 2026Borussia M'gladbach IIvsBonner SC
- Nov 21, 2026FC BocholtvsWestfalia Rhynern
- Nov 21, 2026Paderborn IIvsHilden
- Nov 21, 2026WiedenbrückvsBochum II
- Nov 21, 2026Sportfreunde SiegenvsBergisch Gladbach
- Nov 21, 2026FC GuterslohvsRot-weiss Oberhausen