Sportfreunde Siegen vs Bergisch Gladbach: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - WestWest - 17Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Leimbachstadion, Siegen
The Footlab model makes Sportfreunde Siegen the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Bergisch Gladbach. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sportfreunde Siegen vs Bergisch Gladbach?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Sportfreunde Siegen (1,928) and Bergisch Gladbach (1,923).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sportfreunde Siegen have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Bergisch Gladbach have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Borussia M'gladbach II(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Schalke 04 II(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hilden(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Westfalia Rhynern(away) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 25, 2026 | TSV Steinbach(away) | 8-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Gutersloh(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund II(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Wiedenbrück(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SG Wattenscheid 09(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Sportfreunde Siegen win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Bergisch Gladbach win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 2023 | Bergisch Gladbach 3-4 Sportfreunde Siegen | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Bergisch Gladbach vs Sportfreunde Siegen on Jul 15, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Sportfreunde Siegen score 2.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bergisch Gladbach score 3.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportfreunde Siegen | 2.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Bergisch Gladbach | 3.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sportfreunde Siegen sit 18th in Regionalliga - West (2 points from 4 matches) and Bergisch Gladbach sit 14th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bergisch Gladbach | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
| 18 | Sportfreunde Siegen | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sportfreunde Siegen vs Bergisch Gladbach?
- The Footlab model makes Sportfreunde Siegen the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Bergisch Gladbach.
- Where and when is Sportfreunde Siegen vs Bergisch Gladbach played?
- Sportfreunde Siegen vs Bergisch Gladbach is played on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Leimbachstadion, in the Regionalliga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026SG Wattenscheid 09vsKöln II
- Nov 21, 2026SV RodinghausenvsSchalke 04 II
- Nov 21, 2026Borussia Dortmund IIvsSportfreunde Lotte
- Nov 21, 2026Borussia M'gladbach IIvsBonner SC
- Nov 21, 2026FC BocholtvsWestfalia Rhynern
- Nov 21, 2026Paderborn IIvsHilden
- Nov 21, 2026WiedenbrückvsBochum II
- Nov 21, 2026FC GuterslohvsRot-weiss Oberhausen