Match

Sportfreunde Siegen vs Bergisch Gladbach: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - WestWest - 17Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Leimbachstadion, Siegen

Sportfreunde SiegenBergisch Gladbach

The Footlab model makes Sportfreunde Siegen the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Bergisch Gladbach. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sportfreunde Siegen vs Bergisch Gladbach?

A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Sportfreunde Siegen (1,928) and Bergisch Gladbach (1,923).

Sportfreunde Siegen win40 %
Draw25 %
Bergisch Gladbach win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sportfreunde Siegen have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Bergisch Gladbach have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sportfreunde Siegen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Borussia M'gladbach II(home)0-0Regionalliga - West
Aug 14, 2026Schalke 04 II(away)0-2Regionalliga - West
Aug 8, 2026Hilden(home)1-1Regionalliga - West
Aug 1, 2026Westfalia Rhynern(away)2-3Regionalliga - West
Jul 25, 2026TSV Steinbach(away)8-2Friendlies Clubs
Bergisch Gladbach
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026FC Gutersloh(away)1-3Regionalliga - West
Aug 14, 2026Borussia Dortmund II(home)1-3Regionalliga - West
Aug 9, 2026Wiedenbrück(away)3-1Regionalliga - West
Aug 1, 2026SG Wattenscheid 09(home)1-1Regionalliga - West
Jul 26, 2026Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.(home)4-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Sportfreunde Siegen win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Bergisch Gladbach win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 15, 2023Bergisch Gladbach 3-4 Sportfreunde SiegenFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Bergisch Gladbach vs Sportfreunde Siegen on Jul 15, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Sportfreunde Siegen score 2.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bergisch Gladbach score 3.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sportfreunde Siegen2.31.548/1510/15
Bergisch Gladbach3.31.8311/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sportfreunde Siegen sit 18th in Regionalliga - West (2 points from 4 matches) and Bergisch Gladbach sit 14th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Bergisch Gladbach4112684
18Sportfreunde Siegen4022362

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sportfreunde Siegen vs Bergisch Gladbach?
The Footlab model makes Sportfreunde Siegen the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Bergisch Gladbach.
Where and when is Sportfreunde Siegen vs Bergisch Gladbach played?
Sportfreunde Siegen vs Bergisch Gladbach is played on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Leimbachstadion, in the Regionalliga - West.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Sportfreunde Siegen and Bergisch Gladbach

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