Match

Borussia Dortmund II vs Sportfreunde Siegen: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - WestWest - 28Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Rote Erde, Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund IISportfreunde Siegen

The Footlab model makes Borussia Dortmund II the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Sportfreunde Siegen. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Borussia Dortmund II vs Sportfreunde Siegen?

A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Borussia Dortmund II (1,967) and Sportfreunde Siegen (1,928).

Borussia Dortmund II win47 %
Draw24 %
Sportfreunde Siegen win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Borussia Dortmund II have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Sportfreunde Siegen have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Borussia Dortmund II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Fulham U21(away)4-1Premier League International Cup
Aug 14, 2026Bergisch Gladbach(away)3-1Regionalliga - West
Aug 7, 2026Köln II(home)1-1Regionalliga - West
Aug 1, 2026Bochum II(away)1-1Regionalliga - West
Jul 26, 2026Jong Utrecht(home)5-1Friendlies Clubs
Sportfreunde Siegen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Borussia M'gladbach II(home)0-0Regionalliga - West
Aug 14, 2026Schalke 04 II(away)0-2Regionalliga - West
Aug 8, 2026Hilden(home)1-1Regionalliga - West
Aug 1, 2026Westfalia Rhynern(away)2-3Regionalliga - West
Jul 25, 2026TSV Steinbach(away)8-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Borussia Dortmund II win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Sportfreunde Siegen win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 8, 2026Sportfreunde Siegen 0-1 Borussia Dortmund IIRegionalliga - West
Aug 3, 2025Borussia Dortmund II 2-2 Sportfreunde SiegenRegionalliga - West

Last archived meeting: Sportfreunde Siegen vs Borussia Dortmund II on Apr 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Borussia Dortmund II score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sportfreunde Siegen score 2.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Borussia Dortmund II1.71.3210/157/15
Sportfreunde Siegen2.31.548/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Borussia Dortmund II sit 8th in Regionalliga - West (5 points from 3 matches) and Sportfreunde Siegen sit 18th (2 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Borussia Dortmund II3120535
18Sportfreunde Siegen4022362

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Borussia Dortmund II vs Sportfreunde Siegen?
The Footlab model makes Borussia Dortmund II the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Sportfreunde Siegen.
Where and when is Borussia Dortmund II vs Sportfreunde Siegen played?
Borussia Dortmund II vs Sportfreunde Siegen is played on April 3, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Rote Erde, in the Regionalliga - West.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Borussia Dortmund II and Sportfreunde Siegen

Ready to know everything about football?