Borussia Dortmund II vs Sportfreunde Siegen: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - WestWest - 28Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Rote Erde, Dortmund
The Footlab model makes Borussia Dortmund II the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Sportfreunde Siegen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Borussia Dortmund II vs Sportfreunde Siegen?
A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Borussia Dortmund II (1,967) and Sportfreunde Siegen (1,928).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Borussia Dortmund II have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Sportfreunde Siegen have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Fulham U21(away) | 4-1 | Premier League International Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Bergisch Gladbach(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Köln II(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bochum II(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Jong Utrecht(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Borussia M'gladbach II(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Schalke 04 II(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hilden(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Westfalia Rhynern(away) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 25, 2026 | TSV Steinbach(away) | 8-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Borussia Dortmund II win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Sportfreunde Siegen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Sportfreunde Siegen 0-1 Borussia Dortmund II | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Borussia Dortmund II 2-2 Sportfreunde Siegen | Regionalliga - West |
Last archived meeting: Sportfreunde Siegen vs Borussia Dortmund II on Apr 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Borussia Dortmund II score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Sportfreunde Siegen score 2.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund II | 1.7 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Sportfreunde Siegen | 2.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Borussia Dortmund II sit 8th in Regionalliga - West (5 points from 3 matches) and Sportfreunde Siegen sit 18th (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Borussia Dortmund II | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
| 18 | Sportfreunde Siegen | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Borussia Dortmund II vs Sportfreunde Siegen?
- The Footlab model makes Borussia Dortmund II the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for Sportfreunde Siegen.
- Where and when is Borussia Dortmund II vs Sportfreunde Siegen played?
- Borussia Dortmund II vs Sportfreunde Siegen is played on April 3, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Rote Erde, in the Regionalliga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 3, 2027Sportfreunde LottevsSV Rodinghausen
- Apr 3, 2027Rot-weiss OberhausenvsPaderborn II
- Apr 3, 2027Bergisch GladbachvsHilden
- Apr 3, 2027Köln IIvsSchalke 04 II
- Apr 3, 2027WiedenbrückvsSG Wattenscheid 09
- Apr 3, 2027FC GuterslohvsFC Bocholt
- Apr 3, 2027Westfalia RhynernvsBonner SC
- Apr 3, 2027Bochum IIvsBorussia M'gladbach II