Where and when is Sportfreunde Siegen vs Borussia Dortmund II played?

Sportfreunde Siegen vs Borussia Dortmund II is played on October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Leimbachstadion, in the Regionalliga - West.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Sportfreunde Siegen vs Borussia Dortmund II: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - WestWest - 11Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Leimbachstadion, Siegen

Sportfreunde Siegen

Borussia Dortmund II

The Footlab model makes Sportfreunde Siegen the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Borussia Dortmund II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sportfreunde Siegen vs Borussia Dortmund II?

A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Sportfreunde Siegen (1,928) and Borussia Dortmund II (1,967).

Sportfreunde Siegen win39 %

Draw26 %

Borussia Dortmund II win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sportfreunde Siegen have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Borussia Dortmund II have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sportfreunde Siegen
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Borussia M'gladbach II(home)	0-0	Regionalliga - West
Aug 14, 2026	Schalke 04 II(away)	0-2	Regionalliga - West
Aug 8, 2026	Hilden(home)	1-1	Regionalliga - West
Aug 1, 2026	Westfalia Rhynern(away)	2-3	Regionalliga - West
Jul 25, 2026	TSV Steinbach(away)	8-2	Friendlies Clubs

Borussia Dortmund II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	Bergisch Gladbach(away)	3-1	Regionalliga - West
Aug 7, 2026	Köln II(home)	1-1	Regionalliga - West
Aug 1, 2026	Bochum II(away)	1-1	Regionalliga - West
Jul 26, 2026	Jong Utrecht(home)	5-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 14, 2026	Dordrecht(away)	1-4	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Sportfreunde Siegen win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Borussia Dortmund II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 8, 2026	Sportfreunde Siegen 0-1 Borussia Dortmund II	Regionalliga - West
Aug 3, 2025	Borussia Dortmund II 2-2 Sportfreunde Siegen	Regionalliga - West

Last archived meeting: Sportfreunde Siegen vs Borussia Dortmund II on Apr 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sportfreunde Siegen score 2.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Borussia Dortmund II score 1.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Sportfreunde Siegen	2.3	1.5	4	8/15	10/15
Borussia Dortmund II	1.6	1.4	2	10/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sportfreunde Siegen sit 18th in Regionalliga - West (2 points from 4 matches) and Borussia Dortmund II sit 8th (5 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Borussia Dortmund II	3	1	2	0	5	3	5
18	Sportfreunde Siegen	4	0	2	2	3	6	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sportfreunde Siegen vs Borussia Dortmund II?: The Footlab model makes Sportfreunde Siegen the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Borussia Dortmund II.
Where and when is Sportfreunde Siegen vs Borussia Dortmund II played?: Sportfreunde Siegen vs Borussia Dortmund II is played on October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Leimbachstadion, in the Regionalliga - West.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.