Borussia Dortmund vs Real Madrid: result 2-1 and analysis
UEFA Champions LeagueGroup stage - 3Kick-off on October 24, 2012 at 06:45 PM (UTC)SIGNAL IDUNA PARK, Dortmund
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What was the result of Borussia Dortmund vs Real Madrid?
Borussia Dortmund won 2-1 on October 24, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 36′R. LewandowskiBorussia Dortmund
- 38′Cristiano RonaldoReal Madrid
- 64′Marcel SchmelzerBorussia Dortmund
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Borussia Dortmund have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Real Madrid have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2012 | FC Schalke 04(home) | 1-2 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 7, 2012 | Hannover 96(away) | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 3, 2012 | Manchester City(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 29, 2012 | Borussia Mönchengladbach(home) | 5-0 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 25, 2012 | Eintracht Frankfurt(away) | 3-3 | Bundesliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2012 | Celta Vigo(home) | 2-0 | La Liga |
| Oct 7, 2012 | Barcelona(away) | 2-2 | La Liga |
| Oct 3, 2012 | Ajax(away) | 4-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 30, 2012 | Deportivo La Coruna(home) | 5-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 24, 2012 | Rayo Vallecano(away) | 2-0 | La Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Borussia Dortmund score 2.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Real Madrid score 2.6 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund | 2.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Real Madrid | 2.6 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Borussia Dortmund sit 17th in UEFA Champions League (11 points from 8 matches) and Real Madrid sit 9th (15 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Real Madrid | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 12 | 15 |
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 17 | 11 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy