Boston United vs Carlisle: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 44Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Jakemans Community Stadium, Boston, Lincolnshire
The Footlab AI model makes Carlisle the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Boston United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Carlisle wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,523 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Boston United vs Carlisle?
Carlisle starts as the favourite with a 204-point Elo edge (1,900 vs 1,696).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Boston United vs Carlisle
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Boston United
4-3-3- 11Kenneth Aboh
- 18L. Wheeldon
- 14L. John-Lewis
- 15Oliver Bostock
- 7J. Holmes
- 30N. Pozo
- 23J. Grimes
- 28T. Agyemang
- 2S. Sachdev
- 20J. Rooney
- 13Louis Chadwick
Carlisle
4-3-3- 7D. Ajiboye
- 10R. Linney
- 19M. Obiero
- 30T. Jenks
- 8C. Whelan
- 4H. Bunker
- 17L. Duru
- 5M. Feeney
- 15B. Nicholson
- 22J. Williams
- 1A. Desbois
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 10:02 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Boston United have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Carlisle have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Leicester City U21(home) | 1-0 | National League Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Scunthorpe(home) | 2-1 | National League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Gateshead(home) | 2-1 | National League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Eastleigh(away) | 2-4 | National League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Scunthorpe(home) | 1-3 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Altrincham(away) | 4-2 | National League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Harrogate Town(home) | 3-0 | National League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Solihull Moors(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Tamworth(home) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(home) | 0-0 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Boston United wins, 0 draws, 3 Carlisle wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Carlisle 6-2 Boston United | National League |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Boston United 1-2 Carlisle | National League |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Carlisle 5-2 Boston United | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Carlisle vs Boston United on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Boston United score 1.5 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Carlisle score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston United | 1.5 | 2.2 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Carlisle | 2.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Boston United sit 19th in National League (18 points from 16 matches) and Carlisle sit 8th (26 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Carlisle | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 32 | 23 | 26 |
| 19 | Boston United | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 29 | 18 |
A question about Boston United vs Carlisle?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Boston United vs Carlisle?
- The Footlab AI model makes Carlisle the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Boston United.
- Where and when is Boston United vs Carlisle played?
- Boston United vs Carlisle is played on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Jakemans Community Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.