Match

Barrow vs Gateshead: prediction and stats

National LeagueRegular Season - 44Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)SO Legal Stadium, Barrow-in-Furness, Cumbria

BarrowGateshead

The Footlab AI model makes Barrow the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Gateshead. The most likely score is 1-1. If Barrow wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Barrow vs Gateshead?

Barrow starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,759 vs 1,641).

58%22%20%
Barrow winDrawGateshead win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Barrow vs Gateshead

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Barrow

4-3-3
  1. 14Sebastian Blake Thompson
  2. 9A. Reid
  3. 19A. Allen
  1. 26R. Harper
  2. 5C. Edwards
  3. 27I. Marriott
  1. 25P. Kalambayi
  2. 2M. Oakley
  3. 36T. Latty-Fairweather
  4. 6K. Digie
  1. 1B. Winterbottom

Gateshead

4-3-3
  1. 21M. Spellman
  2. 7J. Hiwula
  3. 29F. Issaka
  1. 4Josh Home
  2. 20F. John
  3. 25A. McCalmont
  1. 5A. Lankshear
  2. 3D. Ferguson
  3. 28H. Holgate
  4. 6Jack Robinson
  1. 12P. Jameson

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 04:39 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barrow have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Gateshead have 1, 3 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Barrow
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Tamworth(away)2-1National League
Oct 3, 2026Wealdstone(home)2-1National League
Sep 29, 2026Scunthorpe(home)3-0National League
Sep 26, 2026Southend(away)4-2National League
Sep 19, 2026Aldershot Town(home)1-0National League
Gateshead
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 13, 2026Wolves U21(home)0-0National League Cup
Oct 10, 2026FC Halifax Town(away)1-4National League
Oct 3, 2026Worthing(home)1-2National League
Sep 29, 2026Altrincham(home)0-1National League
Sep 26, 2026Wealdstone(away)0-4National League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Barrow wins, 2 draws, 2 Gateshead wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 27, 2019Gateshead 0-2 BarrowNational League
Sep 25, 2018Barrow 1-2 GatesheadNational League
Feb 20, 2018Barrow 1-1 GatesheadNational League
Nov 21, 2017Gateshead 1-2 BarrowNational League
Dec 31, 2016Gateshead 4-1 BarrowNational League
Dec 26, 2016Barrow 0-0 GatesheadNational League

Last archived meeting: Gateshead vs Barrow on Apr 27, 2019

How many goals should we expect?

Barrow score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Gateshead score 0.6 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Barrow1.71.158/159/15
Gateshead0.62.227/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Barrow sit 8th in National League (21 points from 13 matches) and Gateshead sit 24th (4 points from 13 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Barrow13634221621
24Gateshead1311118314

A question about Barrow vs Gateshead?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Barrow vs Gateshead?
The Footlab AI model makes Barrow the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Gateshead.
Where and when is Barrow vs Gateshead played?
Barrow vs Gateshead is played on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at SO Legal Stadium, in the National League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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