Botafogo vs Gremio: result 0-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 26Kick-off on October 5, 2013 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro
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What was the result of Botafogo vs Gremio?
Gremio won 0-1 on October 5, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 38′Alex TellesGremio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Botafogo have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Gremio have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2013 | Fluminense(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 29, 2013 | Ponte Preta(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 22, 2013 | Bahia(home) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 19, 2013 | Cruzeiro(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Sep 15, 2013 | Santos(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2013 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 29, 2013 | Sao Paulo(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 22, 2013 | Vitoria(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 18, 2013 | Santos(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 15, 2013 | Atletico-MG(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Botafogo win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Gremio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 2013 | Gremio 2-1 Botafogo | Serie A |
| Oct 14, 2012 | Gremio 1-1 Botafogo | Serie A |
| Jul 22, 2012 | Botafogo 0-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Sep 22, 2011 | Gremio 0-1 Botafogo | Serie A |
| Jun 26, 2011 | Botafogo 2-1 Gremio | Serie A |
| Sep 4, 2010 | Botafogo 2-2 Gremio | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Botafogo score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Gremio score 1.4 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Gremio | 1.4 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Botafogo sit 11th in Serie A (30 points from 22 matches) and Gremio sit 15th (25 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Botafogo | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 35 | 34 | 30 |
| 15 | Gremio | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy