Botev Vratsa vs Ludogorets: result 1-4 and analysis
First LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 7, 2018 at 01:45 PM (UTC)Stadion Hristo Botev, Vratsa
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What was the result of Botev Vratsa vs Ludogorets?
Ludogorets won 1-4 on October 7, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 10′J. LukokiLudogorets
- 20′C. KeșerüLudogorets
- 39′C. KeșerüLudogorets
- 43′C. KeșerüLudogorets
- 53′V. DomovchiyskiBotev Vratsa
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Botev Vratsa have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Ludogorets have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2018 | Slavia Sofia(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Sep 26, 2018 | Chernomorets Balchik(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Sep 22, 2018 | CSKA Sofia(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Sep 14, 2018 | Vitosha Bistritsa(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 2, 2018 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2018 | FC Zurich(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 29, 2018 | Cherno More Varna(home) | 5-1 | First League |
| Sep 26, 2018 | Nesebar(away) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Sep 23, 2018 | Botev Plovdiv(away) | 3-2 | First League |
| Sep 20, 2018 | Bayer Leverkusen(home) | 2-3 | UEFA Europa League |
How many goals should we expect?
Botev Vratsa score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ludogorets score 1.9 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botev Vratsa | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Ludogorets | 1.9 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Botev Vratsa sit 14th in First League (1 points from 5 matches) and Ludogorets sit 1st (16 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ludogorets | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 16 |
| 14 | Botev Vratsa | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy