Match

Botswana U23 vs Guinea U23: prediction and stats

CAF U23 Cup of NationsSemi-finalsKick-off on November 11, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Botswana National Stadium, Gaborone

Botswana U23Guinea U23

The Footlab AI model makes Botswana U23 the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Guinea U23. The most likely score is 1-1. If Botswana U23 wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,768 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Botswana U23 vs Guinea U23?

A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Botswana U23 (1,506) and Guinea U23 (1,488).

43%27%30%
Botswana U23 winDrawGuinea U23 win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Botswana U23 vs Guinea U23

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Botswana U23

Not enough data to predict the Botswana U23 lineup.

Guinea U23

3-4-3
  1. 12Algassime Bah
  2. 10I. Moriba
  3. 8N. Keïta
  1. 6A. Diawara
  2. 17A. Touré
  3. 7A. Balde
  4. 14A. Diallo
  1. 13Madiou Keita
  2. 3Bangaly Cisse
  3. 4Mohamed Soumah
  1. 1S. Sylla

Computed on November 7, 2026 at 10:10 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, Botswana U23 have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Guinea U23 have 3, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Botswana U23
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 6, 2026Seychelles U23(home)2-1CAF U23 Cup of Nations
Oct 2, 2026Seychelles U23(away)2-1CAF U23 Cup of Nations
Sep 30, 2026Mozambique U23(home)0-2Friendlies
Sep 27, 2022Eswatini U23(home)2-1Africa U23 Cup of Nations - Qualification
Sep 23, 2022Eswatini U23(away)0-2Africa U23 Cup of Nations - Qualification
Guinea U23
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 30, 2024United States U23(away)0-3Olympics Men
Jul 27, 2024France U23(away)0-1Olympics Men
Jul 24, 2024New Zealand U23(home)1-2Olympics Men
May 9, 2024Indonesia U23(away)1-0Olympics - Intercontinental Play-offs
Mar 22, 2024United States U23(away)0-3Friendlies

How many goals should we expect?

Botswana U23 score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 5; Guinea U23 score 0.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Botswana U231.21.403/53/5
Guinea U230.81.244/125/12

Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.

A question about Botswana U23 vs Guinea U23?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Botswana U23 vs Guinea U23?
The Footlab AI model makes Botswana U23 the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Guinea U23.
Where and when is Botswana U23 vs Guinea U23 played?
Botswana U23 vs Guinea U23 is played on November 11, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Botswana National Stadium, in the CAF U23 Cup of Nations.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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