Match

Zimbabwe U23 vs Mali U23: prediction and stats

CAF U23 Cup of NationsSemi-finalsKick-off on November 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)

Zimbabwe U23Mali U23

The Footlab AI model makes Zimbabwe U23 the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Mali U23. The most likely score is 1-1. If Zimbabwe U23 wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,768 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Zimbabwe U23 vs Mali U23?

A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Zimbabwe U23 (1,530) and Mali U23 (1,544).

47%26%27%
Zimbabwe U23 winDrawMali U23 win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Zimbabwe U23 vs Mali U23

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Zimbabwe U23

Not enough data to predict the Zimbabwe U23 lineup.

Mali U23

4-3-3
  1. 9C. Doumbia
  2. 10Abdou Salam Ag Jiddou
  3. 11T. Diarra
  1. 8B. Traoré
  2. 18M. Diakité
  3. 6C. Saco
  1. 2F. Doucouré
  2. 17A. Diomandé
  3. 4M. Tounkara
  4. 5I. Cissé
  1. 1L. Diarra

Computed on November 7, 2026 at 10:10 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 2 matches in all competitions, Zimbabwe U23 have 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats; Mali U23 have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Zimbabwe U23
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 6, 2026Mauritius U23(away)4-1CAF U23 Cup of Nations
Sep 30, 2026Mauritius U23(home)2-0CAF U23 Cup of Nations
Mali U23
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 1, 2026Morocco U23(away)1-1Friendlies
Nov 18, 2025Indonesia U23(away)2-2Friendlies
Nov 15, 2025Indonesia U23(away)3-0Friendlies
Jul 30, 2024Paraguay U23(away)0-1Olympics Men
Jul 27, 2024Japan U23(away)0-1Olympics Men

How many goals should we expect?

Zimbabwe U23 score 3.0 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 2; Mali U23 score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Zimbabwe U233.00.511/21/2
Mali U231.50.957/157/15

Over the last 2 matches in all competitions.

A question about Zimbabwe U23 vs Mali U23?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Zimbabwe U23 vs Mali U23?
The Footlab AI model makes Zimbabwe U23 the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Mali U23.
Where and when is Zimbabwe U23 vs Mali U23 played?
Zimbabwe U23 vs Mali U23 is played on November 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the CAF U23 Cup of Nations.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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