Bournemouth vs Derby: result 0-1 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 23, 2013 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth, Dorset
Full time
What was the result of Bournemouth vs Derby?
Derby won 0-1 on November 23, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 61′Jamie John WardDerby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bournemouth have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Derby have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2013 | Burnley(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Nov 2, 2013 | Bolton(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Oct 26, 2013 | Leicester(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Oct 19, 2013 | Nottingham Forest(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 5, 2013 | Millwall(home) | 5-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2013 | Sheffield Wednesday(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Nov 2, 2013 | QPR(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Oct 26, 2013 | Birmingham(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 19, 2013 | Watford(away) | 3-2 | Championship |
| Oct 5, 2013 | Leeds(home) | 3-1 | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Bournemouth score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 2.1 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth | 1.3 | 2.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Derby | 2.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy