Match

Brasiliense vs Canaa EC: prediction and stats

BrasilienseMatchday 5Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Elmo Serejo Farias, Taguatinga, Distrito Federal

BrasilienseCanaa EC

The Footlab AI model makes Brasiliense the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Canaa EC. The most likely score is 1-1. If Brasiliense wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,703 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Brasiliense vs Canaa EC?

Brasiliense starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,642 vs 1,513).

48%28%24%
Brasiliense winDrawCanaa EC win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Brasiliense vs Canaa EC

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Brasiliense

4-3-3
  1. RRomário
  2. RRafael Longuine
  3. RRubens
  1. TTarta
  2. TTobinha
  3. MMarcos Júnior
  1. NNetinho
  2. GGustavo Henrique
  3. 6Keynan
  4. IIgor Morais
  1. MMatheus Kayser

Canaa EC

Not enough data to predict the Canaa EC lineup.

Computed on November 14, 2026 at 02:43 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brasiliense have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Canaa EC have 6, 2 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Brasiliense
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 27, 2026Goiatuba EC(away)0-1Serie D
Jun 21, 2026Goiatuba EC(home)0-0Serie D
Jun 7, 2026Primavera MG(away)2-1Serie D
May 31, 2026Luverdense(home)1-1Serie D
May 24, 2026Inhumas(home)1-0Serie D
Canaa EC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Taguatinga EC(home)2-2Brasiliense B
Oct 24, 2026Planaltina DF(home)2-0Brasiliense B
Oct 17, 2026Planaltina DF(away)1-0Brasiliense B
Oct 10, 2026GREVAL(away)3-0Brasiliense B
Oct 3, 2026Candango(away)4-0Brasiliense B

How many goals should we expect?

Brasiliense score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Canaa EC score 1.8 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Brasiliense1.11.159/155/15
Canaa EC1.80.653/94/9

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Brasiliense943213715

A question about Brasiliense vs Canaa EC?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Brasiliense vs Canaa EC?
The Footlab AI model makes Brasiliense the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Canaa EC.
Where and when is Brasiliense vs Canaa EC played?
Brasiliense vs Canaa EC is played on January 30, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Elmo Serejo Farias, in the Brasiliense.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Brasiliense and Canaa EC