Brea vs Belchite 97: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 17Group 17 - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Piedrabuena, Brea de Aragón
The Footlab model makes Brea the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Belchite 97. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brea vs Belchite 97?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Brea (1,667) and Belchite 97 (1,688).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brea have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Belchite 97 have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | Caspe(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| May 4, 2025 | Ebro(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Cuarte(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Belchite 97(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Épila(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | UD Casetas(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| May 3, 2026 | Zuera(away) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | La Almunia(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Épila(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Robres(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Brea win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Belchite 97 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2025 | Belchite 97 2-0 Brea | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Brea 2-0 Belchite 97 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Apr 25, 2021 | Brea 1-0 Belchite 97 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Mar 28, 2021 | Belchite 97 1-0 Brea | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Feb 16, 2020 | Brea 2-0 Belchite 97 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 29, 2019 | Belchite 97 3-1 Brea | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
How many goals should we expect?
Brea score 0.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Belchite 97 score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brea | 0.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Belchite 97 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Belchite 97 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 28 | 43 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brea vs Belchite 97?
- The Footlab model makes Brea the favourite at 41%, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Belchite 97.
- Where and when is Brea vs Belchite 97 played?
- Brea vs Belchite 97 is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Piedrabuena, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 17.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.