Ejea vs Almudévar: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 17Group 17 - 18Kick-off on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Luchán, Ejea de los Caballeros
The Footlab model makes Ejea the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Almudévar. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ejea vs Almudévar?
Ejea starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,817 vs 1,717).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ejea have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Almudévar have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Basconia(away) | 1-5 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Eibar II(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Deportivo Alavés II(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Real Unión(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Tudelano(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Huesca II(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| May 3, 2026 | Cuarte(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Illueca(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Caspe(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Binéfar(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ejea win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Almudévar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2024 | Almudévar 0-0 Ejea | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Ejea 2-0 Almudévar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| May 21, 2023 | Ejea 3-0 Almudévar | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 13, 2023 | Almudévar 2-1 Ejea | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Almudévar 3-2 Ejea | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Oct 2, 2022 | Ejea 0-1 Almudévar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
How many goals should we expect?
Ejea score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Almudévar score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ejea | 1.0 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Almudévar | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Almudévar | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 39 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ejea vs Almudévar?
- The Footlab model makes Ejea the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Almudévar.
- Where and when is Ejea vs Almudévar played?
- Ejea vs Almudévar is played on January 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Luchán, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 17.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.