Brea vs Épila: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 17Group 17 - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Piedrabuena, Brea de Aragón
The Footlab AI model makes Brea the favourite at 38%, against 34% for a draw and 28% for Épila. The most likely score is 0-0. If Brea wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brea vs Épila?
On Elo ratings, Brea has 1,655 points and Épila 1,787.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Brea vs Épila
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Brea
4-3-3- MMarzal Garcia
- JJorge Espinal
- HHugo Gracia
- PPablo AgustÃn
- SSamuel Cardo
- MM. Slavov
- AAlejandro Conte
- 12Christian Yus
- DDaniel Porroche
- YYeray Jaraba
- TTatu
Épila
Not enough data to predict the Épila lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 04:56 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brea have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Épila have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | La Almunia(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | CDJ Tamarite(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Andorra CF(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | CD Sietamo(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Illueca(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Robres(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Caspe(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | La Almunia(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | CDJ Tamarite(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Andorra CF(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Brea wins, 2 draws, 0 Épila wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2025 | Brea 1-1 Épila | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Dec 6, 2024 | Épila 0-1 Brea | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Feb 28, 2021 | Épila 0-0 Brea | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Dec 5, 2020 | Brea 1-0 Épila | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
How many goals should we expect?
Brea score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Épila score 1.1 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 27% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brea | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Épila | 1.1 | 0.5 | 10 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Brea sit 2nd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 (14 points from 6 matches) and Épila sit 8th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Brea | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | Épila | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 8 |
A question about Brea vs Épila?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brea vs Épila?
- The Footlab AI model makes Brea the favourite at 38%, against 34% for a draw and 28% for Épila.
- Where and when is Brea vs Épila played?
- Brea vs Épila is played on December 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Piedrabuena, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 17.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 27% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.